The Capacitated Maximal Covering Location Problem Improves Access to Stroke Treatment: A Cross-Sectional Simulation Study

Abstract

Disparities in accessing advanced stroke treatment have been recognized as a policy challenge in multiple countries, including Japan, necessitating priority solutions. Nevertheless, more practical healthcare policies must be implemented due to the limited availability of healthcare staff and financial resources in most nations. This study aimed to evaluate the supply and demand balance of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) and identify areas with high priority for enhancing stroke centers. The target area of this study was Hokkaido, Japan. We adopted the capacitated maximal covering location problem (CMCLP) to propose an optimal allocation without increasing the number of medical facilities. Four realistic scenarios with varying levels of total MT supply capacity for Primary stroke centers and assuming a range of 90 minutes by car from the center were created and simulated. From scenarios 1 to 4, the coverage increased by approximately 53% to 85%, scenarios 2 and 3 had 5% oversupply, and scenario 4 had an oversupply of approximately 20%. When the supply capacity cap was eliminated and 8 PSCs received 31 or more patients, they became priority enhancement targets. The CMCLP estimates demand coverage considering the supply and demand balance and indicates areas and facilities where MT supply capacity enhancement is a priority.