Predicting the prognosis of Wilms tumor by peripheral blood cells: a real-world study of more than 30 years

Abstract

Abstract Background Despite established excellent treatment strategies for Wilms tumor (WT), effective prognostic evaluation methods were lacking. This study aims to examine prognostic factors for WT through real-world peripheral blood cell profiling. Methods Basic data and pre-treatment laboratory indices from WT and non-WT children underwent Wilcoxon test analysis. Chi-square tests assessed the correlation between blood cells and the overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) of WT. Further the Log-rank test and multivariate Cox were used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS. Traditional accepted factors were included in multi-Cox and the nomogram was constructed to further validate the outcome. Results Blood cells significantly differed between WT and non-WT groups (P < 0.05). Univariate analysis revealed that NLR above 1.380, stage IV, M below 0.325 × 103/μL were linked with lower OS, and PLR below 94.632, LB above 3.570 × 103/μL, stage IV, M above 0.325 × 103/μL,age ≤ 3 years were meaningful for higher EFS (P < 0.05). While in the multifactorial COX, only M (HR:0.220, HR95%CI: 0.080 ~ 0.620, P = 0.004 and HR: 0.437, HR95%CI: 0.202 ~ 0.947, P = 0.036, respectively) and stage IV (HR: 7.890, HR95%CI: 1.650 ~ 37.770, P = 0.010 and HR: 3.720, HR95%CI: 1.330 ~ 10.408, P = 0.012, respectively) were independent prognostic factors for OS and EFS. These two variables also were significant after including recognized risk factors, and were demonstrated the predictability via nomogram. Conclusions OS and EFS were poorer in WT children with M below 0.325 × 103/μL, suggesting the potential as a prognostic predictor for WT.

Keywords

• Wilms tumor
• Blood cells
• Overall survival
• Risk stratification
• Prognosis