The Representation of the Southern Annular Mode Signal in the Brazilian Earth System Model

Abstract

The Southern Annular Mode (SAM, also known as the Antarctic Oscillation—AAO) explains most of the climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. A ring pattern in mean sea level pressure (MSLP) or 500 hPa geopotential height around Antarctica characterizes SAM. Differences of MSLP values between SH mid and high latitudes define positive and negative SAM phases with impacts on mean atmospheric circulation. Thus, investigating how different models represent SAM is of paramount importance, as it can improve their ability to describe or even predict most of the SH climate variability. Here we examine how the Brazilian Earth System Model (BESM) represents SAM’s signal compared with observations, reanalysis, and other climate models contributing to the Coupled Modeling Intercomparison Project version 5 (CMIP5). We also evaluate how SAM relates to the South American surface temperature and precipitation and discuss the models’ limitations and biases compared with reanalysis data.

Keywords

• Southern Annular Mode
• model evaluation
• mean sea level pressure
• temperature
• precipitation
• South America