Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN

Abstract

So as to decrease those cacoethic impact of a huge amount of wind energy generation systems associated with the electric power system and improve the utilization rate and the budgetary profits of wind power era, this paper raises a neural network in view of CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used to break down the wind velocity arrangement to decrease the sway of arbitrariness Furthermore variance about wind velocity. Secondly, the ultra-short-term wind power forecast depend upon LSTM and TCN is built to realize the real-time prediction for wind energy. Finally, the simulation results show that LSTM-TCN can deal with multi time order characteristics and predict ultra-short period wind energy with effect, which is better than LSTM and TCN. It also has a scientific reference for local power dispatching.

Keywords

• Wind power generation system
• Wind power
• Renewable energy
• Ultra short-term wind power forecast