The Silent Threat: A Retrospective Cohort Study on the Impact of Prediabetes on ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Survival—A Call to Action!

Abstract

Background: Prediabetes is frequently underdiagnosed and undertreated, yet it poses significant cardiovascular risks. This study investigates the impact of prediabetes on short- and long-term survival outcomes in patients who experienced ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods: In this retrospective, single-center cohort study, we evaluated 725 STEMI patients stratified into non-diabetic, prediabetic, and diabetic groups based on HbA1c levels at presentation. A Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was employed to compare long-term outcomes over a three-year follow-up period. Cardiovascular risk factors, including hypertension and dyslipidemia, were analyzed across the groups. The discriminatory power of HbA1c for predicting all-cause mortality was assessed using an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) analysis. Results: Of the 725 patients, 407 (56.1%) were non-diabetic, 184 (25.4%) were prediabetic, and 134 (18.5%) were diabetic. Prediabetic patients exhibited significant additional cardiovascular risk factors, such as arterial hypertension (67.4%) and dyslipidemia (78.3%), with prevalence rates between those of non-diabetic and diabetic patients. The Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that at a three-year follow-up, prediabetic patients faced a survival disadvantage, with a significant decrease in survival rates compared to non-diabetic patients (log-rank p = 0.016); their survival outcomes approached those of diabetic patients (p = 0.125). The AUROC analysis demonstrated that HbA1c was a significant predictor of short- and long-term mortality, with a cut-off value of 5.75% and an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.580–0.617 (95% CI: 0.458–0.721), indicating a moderate ability to predict survival in patients with STEMI. Conclusions: Prediabetes significantly worsens survival outcomes following STEMI, nearly approaching the risk level of diabetes. Integrating rigorous cardiovascular risk management strategies for prediabetic individuals, including lifestyle interventions and potentially pharmacological treatments, could prevent the progression to diabetes and mitigate associated cardiovascular risks.

Keywords

• cardiovascular disease
• diabetes
• glycemic status
• prediabetes
• STEMI