Research on the economic development impact of earthquake disaster in China

Abstract

As one of the areas with frequent earthquake disasters, China’s social stability and sustained and healthy economic development have been profoundly affected for a long time. Based on the two-way fixed effect model and a series of deterministic indicators of economic development, including education level, economic development, financial development, fixed asset investment and permanent population, this paper designs a standard regression equation for estimating growth and uses time series panel data to analyze the impact of earthquake disasters on China’s economic development. The research results show that the earthquake disaster has an insignificant positive impact on China’s GDP. From the point of view of control variables, education level and financial development level have a positive effect on economic development as a whole, but there are certain differences in the degree of influence. The degree of trade openness has a significant impact on GDP, industry and service industries. Moreover, it has a negative impact on agricultural development.

Keywords

• earthquake disaster
• economic development
• impact analysis