Nature Communications (Dec 2019)

The anticipation of events in time

  • Matthias Grabenhorst,
  • Georgios Michalareas,
  • Laurence T. Maloney,
  • David Poeppel

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13849-0
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 1
pp. 1 – 13

Abstract

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The brain predicts upcoming events—a fundamental operation assumed to depend on the event hazard rate and a linearly increasing uncertainty in time estimation. Here, the authors propose a simpler computation based on the reciprocal PDF, which directly determines the uncertainty in time estimation.