The Relationship Between Qualitative Characteristics Of Earning Per Share Forecasts and Bankruptcy Risk

Abstract

Earnings per share forecast is one of the most important information disclosed by firms, on the other hand, cycles of recession and inflation have confronted companies with financial crises. This study investigates the relation between the qualitative characteristics of earning per share forecasts by management and bankruptcy risk. The sample consists of 139 firms listed in Tehran Stock Exchange in the period from 2006 to 2013. Research hypotheses are tested through panel data regression analysis using fixed effects. Results indicate a significant negative relation between accuracy of earnings per share forecast and bankruptcy risk. However, there is no significant relation between the frequencies of earning per share forecast and bankruptcy risk. According to the findings, it can be stated that the qualitative characteristics of earning per share are effective on bankruptcy risk. This means that the more accurate and reliable earning per share forecasts, the less bankruptcy risk.

Keywords

• Keywords: predictions of accuracy
• accuracy of profit prediction
• reliability of the profit prediction
• Bankruptcy risk