Temperature Prediction of Chinese Cities Based on GCN-BiLSTM

Abstract

Temperature is an important part of meteorological factors, which are affected by local and surrounding meteorological factors. Aiming at the problems of significant prediction error and insufficient extraction of spatial features in current temperature prediction research, this research proposes a temperature prediction model based on the Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and studies the influence of temperature time-series characteristics, urban spatial location, and other meteorological factors on temperature change in the study area. In this research, multi-meteorological influencing factors and temperature time-series characteristics are used instead of single time-series temperature as influencing factors to improve the time dimension of the input data through time-sliding windows. Meanwhile, considering the influence of meteorological factors in the surrounding area on the temperature change in the study area, we use GCN to extract the urban geospatial location features. The experimental results demonstrate that our model outperforms other models and has the smallest root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) in the following 14-day and multi-region temperature forecasts. It has higher accuracy in areas with stable temperature fluctuations and small temperature differences than in baseline models.

Keywords

• temperature prediction
• sequential features
• geospatial location
• GCN
• BiLSTM