Ecological Indicators (Oct 2023)
Estimating population size for California spotted owls and barred owls across the Sierra Nevada ecosystem with bioacoustics
Abstract
Monitoring population size at ecosystem scales is difficult for most species of conservation concern. While assessing site occupancy at broad scales has proven feasible, rigorous tracking of changes in population size over time has not – even though it can provide a stronger basis for assessing population status and conservation-decision making. Therefore, we demonstrate how relatively low-intensity, ecosystem-scale passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) can be linked to local-density monitoring to estimate the population size of native California spotted owls (Strix occidentalis occidentalis) and invasive barred owls (S. varia) across the western Sierra Nevada, California. Based on a PAM sampling grid with 400 ha cells (the approximate home range size of these species), we estimated site occupancy to be between 0.42 (SE = 0.02) and 0.30 (SE = 0.02) for California spotted owls using relatively liberal and strict criteria, respectively, for considering a cell occupied. PAM-based site occupancy estimates within local-scale density monitoring study areas (range = 0.41–0.78 and 0.28–0.76 for liberal and strict criteria, respectively) were strongly and positively correlated with local density (range = 0.08–0.31 owl/km2) for this species. In contrast, ecosystem-wide site occupancy of barred owls was very low based on PAM (0.034, SE < 0.01), as were densities within local monitoring studies (range = 0–0.005 owls/km2). By scaling ecosystem-wide site occupancy estimates to densities estimated with local monitoring studies, we estimated that, depending on occupancy criteria, 2,218 (SE = 278) or 2,328 (SE = 489) California spotted owls occurred in the Sierra Nevada ecosystem in 2021. Thus, while California spotted owls are a rare subspecies, they were well-distributed across the Sierra Nevada. Because there were so few barred owl detections, we could not estimate ecosystem-scale abundance, which reflects the success of prior experimental removals in the region. In conclusion, our study provides a generalizable framework for estimating population size for territorial species with PAM at ecosystem scales when local-scale estimates of density are available. Thus, we demonstrate that this approach can provide novel and valuable insights into monitoring populations to aid species conservation.