Risk assessment for typhoon-induced storm surges in Wenchang, Hainan Island of China

Abstract

A risk assessment for storm surge disasters can provide scientific support for coastal management as well as marine disaster prevention and mitigation. By taking the Wenchang City of Hainan Province as a pilot area, a risk assessment approach for typhoon-induced storm surge disasters is introduced in detail in this article. First, a numerical simulation system for storm surge inundation is developed, which is applied for the simulation and calculation of the probable maximum storm surge in Wenchang, and the obtained inundation areas and depths are used to assess the storm surge hazard. Then, the data of land use and disaster-bearing bodies are used to classify and assess the vulnerability of Wenchang. Finally, by taking the community as unit, the risk assessment for typhoon-induced storm surge affecting Wenchang is performed by combining the assessment results of both hazard and vulnerability, thereby obtaining a level map of risk distribution. The results show that there are risks of typhoon-induced storm surge in most of the coastal areas of Wenchang, especially for its northeast and east coastal areas, where the risks reach Levels I–II. This approach can be conveniently applied to risk assessments of storm surge in other coastal areas. Note that this approach focuses on the current risk of typhoon-induced storm surge in coastal areas, and further studies will be conducted on the assessment methods for the potential risk.

Keywords

• risk assessment
• storm surge
• hazard assessment
• vulnerability assessment
• adcirc