Methods for detection of crises in the economy in the early stages

Abstract

The article presents the results of a research of the principles, methods and models for discovery of crises in the economy in the early stages. The increase in the intensity of interaction of economic agents and increase the speed of information exchange and transactions frequency create preconditions not only for accelerating growth but also for the overheating of the economy with subsequent state of crisis. The relevance and importance of the work justifies increasing frequency, as global economic crises and crises of assets, and in opportunities of a statistically sound forecasting of development of crisis processes in the securities market. The object of the study was the crisis situation of the individual assets, as well as methods of detecting the crisis at an early stage.

Keywords

• crisis
• crisis situations
• crisis of assets
• crisis indicator
• volatility.