Daily diurnal temperature range associated with outpatient visits of acute lower respiratory infection in children: A time-series study in Guangzhou, China

Abstract

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BackgroundDiurnal temperature range (DTR) has been increasingly recognized as a risk factor for mortality and morbidity, but the association between DTR and acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) outpatient visits has not been examined among children in China.MethodsA total of 79,416 ALRI outpatient visits among children were obtained from the Guangdong Second Provincial General Hospital between 2013 and 2019. DTR was calculated by taking the difference between the maximum and the minimum temperatures. Generalized additive models using a quasi-Poisson distribution were used to model the relationship between DTR and ALRI outpatient visits.ResultsDiurnal temperature range was significantly associated with elevated risks of ALRI outpatient visits: the excess risks (ERs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 2.31% (1.26, 3.36%) for ALRI, 3.19% (1.86, 4.54%) for pneumonia, and 1.79% (0.59, 3.01%) for bronchiolitis, respectively. Subgroup analyses suggested that the associations were significantly stronger during rainy seasons (ER for ALRI: 3.02%, 95% CI: 1.43, 4.64%) than those in dry seasons (ER for ALRI: 2.21%, 95% CI: 0.65, 3.81%), while no significant effect modifications were found in sex and age groups.ConclusionDiurnal temperature range may elevate the risk of ALRI outpatient visits among children in China, especially during rainy seasons. Public health policies are needed to mitigate the adverse health impacts of DTR on children.

Keywords

• diurnal temperature range
• acute lower respiratory infection
• China
• children
• time series analysis