An intelligent shell game optimization based energy consumption analytics model for smart metering data

Abstract

Smart metering is a hot research topic and has gained significant attention since the electromechanical metering is not reliable and requires more energy and time. All the existing methods are focused only on how to deal with data rather than how to do efficiently. Prediction of electricity consumption is essential to gain intelligence to the smart gird. Precise electricity prediction allows a service provided in resource planning and also controlling actions for the demand and supply balancing. The users are beneficial from the smart metering solution by effective interpretation of their energy utilization, and labelling them to efficiently handle the utilization cost. With this motivation, the paper presents intelligent energy consumption analytics using smart metering data (ECA-SMD) model to determine the utilization of energy. The presented ECA-SMD model involves three major processes namely data pre-processing, feature extraction, classification, and parameter optimization. The presented ECA-SMD model uses Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) based classification to determine the optimum class labels. Besides, shell game optimization (SGO) algorithm is applied for tuning the parameters involved in the ELM and boosts the classification efficiency. The efficacy of the ECA-SMD model is validated using an extensive set of smart metering data and the results are investigated based on accuracy and mean square error (MSE). The proposed model exhibited supremacy with the maximum accuracy of 65.917 % and minimum MSE of 0.096.

Keywords

• electricity consumption
• predictive model
• data analytics
• smart metering
• machine learning