Study of the Characteristics of the Long-Term Persistence of Hourly Wind Speed in Xinjiang Based on Detrended Fluctuation Analysis

Abstract

Profound research on the characteristics of the long-term persistence of wind is greatly significant for understanding the characteristics of wind speed mechanisms as well as for avoiding disasters caused by wind. In the current study, we selected the hourly 10 min wind speed series between 2017 and 2021 from 105 nation-level meteorological stations in Xinjiang and investigated the spatiotemporal variations in the long-term persistence of wind speed in different regions of Xinjiang and in different seasons using detrended fluctuation analysis. The main findings are as follows: (1) The wind speed in Xinjiang shows noticeable annual and seasonal variations, exhibiting satisfactory long-term sustainability. Winter has the best long-term sustainability, followed sequentially by spring, autumn, and summer because of wind speed stability. (2) The long-term persistence of hourly wind speed in Xinjiang exhibits remarkable regionality, with regions with strong wind superior to the remaining regions. (3) The long-term persistence of wind speed within the same season is primarily associated with wind speed magnitude and the dispersion degree between 90% and 100% of the wind speed numerical values. A higher wind speed indicates better long-term persistence. At the same speed, the more discrete the numerical values in the 90–100% distribution range, the better the persistence.

Keywords

• detrended fluctuation analysis
• wind speed
• long-term persistence
• stability