Nature Communications (Jan 2018)

Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties

  • Bedartha Goswami,
  • Niklas Boers,
  • Aljoscha Rheinwalt,
  • Norbert Marwan,
  • Jobst Heitzig,
  • Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach,
  • Jürgen Kurths

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-02456-6
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 9, no. 1
pp. 1 – 10

Abstract

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Most time series techniques tend to ignore data uncertainties, which results in inaccurate conclusions. Here, Goswami et al. represent time series as a sequence of probability density functions, and reliably detect abrupt transitions by identifying communities in probabilistic recurrence networks.