PM2.5 prediction based on modified whale optimization algorithm and support vector regression

Abstract

Abstract In order to obtain the pattern of variation of PM2.5concentrations in the atmosphere in Nanchang City, we build a Support Vector Regression(SVR) with modified Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA) hybrid model (namely mWOA-SVR model) that can predict the PM2.5concentration. Firstly, according to the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) method to examine the dynamic relationship between air pollutants and meteorological factors together with them, PM10, SO2and CO were selected as air pollutant concentration characteristics, while daily maximum and minimum temperatures, and wind power levels were selected as meteorological characteristics; then, using modified WOA algorithm for parameter selection of SVR model, four sets of better parameter combinations were found; finally, the mWOA-SVR model was built by the four sets parameters to predict PM2.5concentration. The results show that the prediction accuracy of mixed mWOA-SVR model with pollutant concentration plus weather factors as the feature was higher than single pollutant concentration.

Keywords

• Correlation analysis
• Support vector regression
• PM2.5 concentration
• Whale optimization calculation