مجله علوم روانشناختی (Nov 2020)
Future studies of educational management studies using modeling of scenario method and global business network model
Abstract
Background: Nowadays, educational management deals with many issues such as the future and its prospects, organizational changes and emerging businesses that require serious attention from management scholars and experts. Paying attention to the element of futures and futurism in educational management studies, in today's business world and its rapid changes, will greatly contribute to the dynamics and development of educational management that has been overlooked so far. Aims: The future of educational management studies was modeled by scenario modeling and global business networking model. Method: The research was qualitative. The statistical population of the study consisted of educational management thinkers and experts who simultaneously had expertise and experience in future research studies and scenario modeling. The research tool in this study was semi-structured interviews to prioritize effective proponents of future educational management studies. Data analysis was performed using Friedman test and hierarchical analysis. Results: The future of educational management studies were influenced by two main proponents of "mass media" and "cultural identity" (p= 0/027). Conclusions: Interaction of mass media and cultural identity constituted the four "evolutionary", "media", "cultural" and "alienation" scenarios, each of which represented a specific situation of the future of educational management studies.
