Decreasing Non–bladder-cancer Mortality After Radical Cystectomy

Abstract

Life expectancy is increasing in many parts of the world. Using proportional hazard models for competing risks, we investigated whether this increase has changed outcomes after radical cystectomy in a sample of 1419 consecutive patients treated between 1993 and 2018. During the observation period, the mean age and the proportion of patients with American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class 3 or 4 increased, whereas the proportion of patients with heart disease decreased. Competing mortality (causes other than bladder cancer) decreased in all subgroups (hazard ratios [HRs] per year ranged from 0.931 to 0.963) and after controlling for increasing age (HRs ranged from 1.018 to 1.081). In an optimal model resulting from an analysis including age (HR per year 1.048, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.027–1.070; p < 0.0001), comorbidity, tumor-related variables, body mass index, (neoadjuvant and adjuvant) chemotherapy and smoking status, the HR per increment for year of surgery was 0.928 (95% CI 0.886–0.973; p = 0.0019). The effect of year of surgery was greater than the decrease in competing mortality that may be expected with increasing life expectancy (4 yr for females, 6 yr for males). Patient summary: In a review of data for 1993–2018, we found that death from other causes after removal of the bladder (radical cystectomy) for bladder cancer decreased over time. This decreasing trend might increase the age limit at which bladder cancer patients can benefit from radical cystectomy in the future.

Keywords

• Life expectancy
• Age
• Comorbidity
• Bladder cancer
• Radical cystectomy
• Mortality