Estimating COVID-19 mortality in Italy early in the COVID-19 pandemic

Chirag Modi; Vanessa Böhm; Simone Ferraro; George Stein; Uroš Seljak

doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22944-0

Nature Communications (May 2021)

Estimating COVID-19 mortality in Italy early in the COVID-19 pandemic

Chirag Modi,
Vanessa Böhm,
Simone Ferraro,
George Stein,
Uroš Seljak

Affiliations

Chirag Modi: Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, Department of Physics, University of California
Vanessa Böhm: Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, Department of Physics, University of California
Simone Ferraro: Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, Department of Physics, University of California
George Stein: Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, Department of Physics, University of California
Uroš Seljak: Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, Department of Physics, University of California

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22944-0
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 12, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

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Estimates of COVID-19-related mortality are limited by incomplete testing. Here, the authors perform counterfactual analyses and estimate that there were 59,000–62,000 deaths from COVID-19 in Italy until 9th September 2020, approximately 1.5 times higher than official statistics.

Published in Nature Communications

ISSN: 2041-1723 (Online)
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Science
Website: https://www.nature.com/ncomms/

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