A transmission dynamics model of COVID-19: Case of Cameroon

Abstract

In this work, we propose and investigate an ordinary differential equations model describing the spread of COVID-19 in Cameroon. The model takes into account the asymptomatic, unreported symptomatic, quarantine, hospitalized individuals and the amount of virus in the environment, for evaluating their impact on the transmission of the disease. After establishing the basic properties of the model, we compute the control reproduction number Rc and show that the disease dies out whenever Rc≤1 and is endemic whenever Rc>1. Furthermore, an optimal control problem is derived and investigated theoretically by mainly relying on Pontryagin's maximum principle. We illustrate the theoretical analysis by presenting some graphical results.

Keywords

• 37B25
• 34D23
• 49J15