THE MODEL OF FORECASTING THE EXCHANGE RATE OF THE RUBLE IN OPERATIONAL PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Abstract

In the article the questions of creation of adequate models that predict the dependence of the exchange rate of the national currency on the price of oil for use in operational planning and forecasting offinancial and economic activity of enterprises and organizations. Specifies requirements for the methodical-instrumental unit of research in this area, and proposes an improved method of developing a mathematical model for operational forecasting of the complex «oil price-exchange rate of the ruble». It is recommended that the author's algorithm of calculation of the sustainability and adequacy of the obtained characteristics.

Keywords

• цены на нефть
• валютный курс рубля
• прогнозирование взаимозависимости
• математическая модель
• экономическая интерпретация
• oil prices
• exchange rate
• forecasting interdependence
• mathematical model
• economic interpretation