Prediction of home energy consumption based on gradient boosting regression tree

Abstract

Energy consumption prediction of buildings has drawn attention in the related literature since it is very complex and affected by various factors. Hence, a challenging work is accurately estimating the energy consumption of buildings and improving its efficiency. Therefore, effective energy management and energy consumption forecasting are now becoming very important in advocating energy conservation. Many researchers work on saving energy and increasing the utilization rate of energy. Prior works about the energy consumption prediction combine software and hardware to provide reasonable suggestions for users based on the analyzed results. In this paper, an innovative energy consumption prediction model is established to simulate and predict the electrical energy consumption of buildings. In the proposed model, the energy consumption data is more accurately predicted by using the gradient boosting regression tree algorithm. By comparing the performance index Root Mean Square Error of different prediction models through experiments it is shown that the proposed model obtains lower values on different testing data. More detailed comparison with other existing models through experiments show that the proposed prediction model is superior to other models in energy consumption prediction.

Keywords

• Energy management
• Energy consumption
• Gradient boosting regression tree
• Data prediction