TURKMENISTÁN, EVOLUCIÓN DE UN ESTADO NEOPATRIMONIALY PERSISTENCIA DE SU VULNERABILIDAD AL GOLPE DE PALACIO

Abstract

The rise to power of Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov after the death in 2006 of the first President of the independent Turkmenistan, Saparmurat Niyázov, open three questions regarding the development horizon of the young Republic: The continuity or change of regime between authoritarianism and liberal democracy; its model of governance, differentiating the sultanism from a neopatrimonialism based on informal networks; and, finally, the possibility of neutralising the persistent threat of a coup d'etat, in the form of a palace coup, the main threat to the security of the country from a perspective of political instability. The objective of this article is to analyze the development of these three issues, examining the evolution of the Neopatrimonial State in the presidencies of Niyázov and Berdymukhamedov, as well as the three main contexts of risk to a palace coup in the independent Turkmenistant.

Keywords

• Turkmenistan
• Neopatrimonial State
• Sultanism
• Coup d'etat
• Palace coup