Land Surface Snow Phenology Based on an Improved Downscaling Method in the Southern Gansu Plateau, China

Abstract

Snow is involved in and influences water–energy processes at multiple scales. Studies on land surface snow phenology are an important part of cryosphere science and are a hot spot in the hydrological community. In this study, we improved a statistical downscaling method by introducing a spatial probability distribution function to obtain regional snow depth data with higher spatial resolution. Based on this, the southern Gansu Plateau (SGP), an important water source region in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, was taken as a study area to quantify regional land surface snow phenology variation, together with a discussion of their responses to land surface terrain and local climate, during the period from 2003 to 2018. The results revealed that the improved downscaling method was satisfactory for snow depth data reprocessing according to comparisons with gauge-based data. The downscaled snow depth data were used to conduct spatial analysis and it was found that snow depth was on average larger and maintained longer in areas with higher altitudes, varying and decreasing with a shortened persistence time. Snow was also found more on steeper terrain, although it was indistinguishable among various aspects. The former is mostly located at high altitudes in the SGP, where lower temperatures and higher precipitation provide favorable conditions for snow accumulation. Climatically, factors such as precipitation, solar radiation, and air temperature had significantly singular effectiveness on land surface snow phenology. Precipitation was positively correlated with snow accumulation and maintenance, while solar radiation and air temperature functioned negatively. Comparatively, the quantity of snow was more sensitive to solar radiation, while its persistence was more sensitive to air temperature, especially extremely low temperatures. This study presents an example of data and methods to analyze regional land surface snow phenology dynamics, and the results may provide references for better understanding water formation, distribution, and evolution in alpine water source areas.

Keywords

• land surface snow phenology
• statistical downscaling
• terrain
• climate
• southern Gansu Plateau