Prognosis factors of survival in patients with liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension

Abstract

Aim. To study prognostic factors for survival in patients of liver cirrhosis (LC) with portal hypertension (PG). Materials and methods. 155 patients (women - 49.4%, men - 50.6%, median age 56.4 years [51.3; 61.6]) were follow up for 36 months. Viral LC was diagnosed in 33.8%, alcohol LC - 22.1%, autoimmune LC - 15.6%, other causes and cryptogenic causes noted in - 28.5%. More than half of the patients had a class В of Child-Pugh (51.9%). Results and discussion. During the study period 42 patients (28.3%) died. The analysis of survival by various factors for Kaplan-Mayer was carried out. Significant predictors: Child-Pugh class, LC etiology, comorbidity in Charlson scores, adherence to endoscopic treatment of esophageal varices were included in the model of proportional Cox risks. In a single-factor analysis, the risk of death is higher in patients who violate the timing of endoscopic treatment, but this factor has lost significance in the multifactor model. Patient with Child-Pugh C, alcoholic LC, comorbidity more 5 points by Charlson score have a higher mortality risk. Conclusion. Identification of risk factors that affect the survival of LC patients will allow to use of an individual plan for the LC treatment and prevention of PG complications.

Keywords

• liver cirrhosis
• prognosis
• risk factors
• survival