Applying the Dispa-SET Model to the Western Balkans Power System

Abstract

The ongoing climate change, together with the global increase in energy consumption and unpredictable fossil fuel prices have been the main drivers for the implementation of power exchange, market coupling, energy efficiency measures and larger use of renewable energy. All these targets bring up the need for the development of new modelling frameworks and governance systems that will be based on competitive, secure and sustainable national action plans. For this purpose, the Dispa-SET model has been applied to six countries in the Western Balkans region. In the first scenario, the model has been validated for the year 2010. The second scenario has been developed according to the targets from national energy strategies for the years 2020 and 2030, while the third scenario has been developed with the purpose of determining the maximum share of renewable energy sources in the regional power mix. Simulation results indicate that the integration of additional wind and solar capacities, compared to the short and long-term national strategies for the years 2020 and 2030, can be achieved without compromising the stability of the system.

Keywords

• Energy system modelling
• Power dispatch
• Energy planning
• Dispa-SET.