Association between Liver Damage and Disease Progression Markers with Mortality Risk and Mechanical Ventilation in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: A Nationwide Retrospective SARSTer Study

Abstract

(1) Background: Liver damage is an important component of acute COVID-19, and the advancement of preexisting liver disease is associated with a worse prognosis; (2) Methods: A nationwide retrospective study including 7444 patients aimed to evaluate levels of selected markers of liver damage and disease advancement and their association with mortality and mechanical ventilation (MV); (3) Results: Elevation of the following markers in multivariate models were associated with increased odds of mortality: Alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and decreased levels of platelet count (PLT). Elevated levels of AST, LDH, APRI, FIB-4, and the AST/ALT ratio and decreased levels of PLT were associated with increased odds of MV in multivariate models. The best predictive accuracy against mortality was achieved with FIB-4 with AUC = 0.733 (95% CI, 0.718–0.749) at the optimal cut-off point of 2.764, while against MV was achieved with LDH with AUC = 0.753 (95% CI, 0.727–0.778) at the optimal cut-off point of 449.5 IU/L. (4) Conclusions: Our study confirms that the advancement of liver damage contributes to a worse prognosis in COVID-19 patients. Markers for liver damage and the advancement of liver disease can provide predictive value in clinical practice among COVID-19 patients.

Keywords

• SARS-CoV-2
• COVID-19
• liver
• liver fibrosis
• alanine aminotransferase
• aspartate aminotransferase