Multi-unit Level 2 probabilistic safety assessment: Approaches and their application to a six-unit nuclear power plant site

Abstract

The risk of multi-unit nuclear power plants (NPPs) at a site has received considerable critical attention recently. However, current probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) procedures and computer code do not support multi-unit PSA because the traditional PSA structure is mostly used for the quantification of single-unit NPP risk. In this study, the main purpose is to develop a multi-unit Level 2 PSA method and apply it to full-power operating six-unit OPR1000. Multi-unit Level 2 PSA method consists of three steps: (1) development of single-unit Level 2 PSA; (2) extracting the mapping data from plant damage state to source term category; and (3) combining multi-unit Level 1 PSA results and mapping fractions. By applying developed multi-unit Level 2 PSA method into six-unit OPR1000, site containment failure probabilities in case of loss of ultimate heat sink, loss of off-site power, tsunami, and seismic event were quantified. Keywords: Large Early Release Frequency, Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment Method, Multi-unit Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Seismic Event, Site Containment Failure Probability, Site Risk, Tsunami Event