A Modern Data-Mining Approach Based on Genetically Optimized Fuzzy Systems for Interpretable and Accurate Smart-Grid Stability Prediction

Abstract

The main objective and contribution of this paper was/is the application of our knowledge-based data-mining approach (a fuzzy rule-based classification system) characterized by a genetically optimized interpretability-accuracy trade-off (by means of multi-objective evolutionary optimization algorithms) for transparent and accurate prediction of decentral smart grid control (DSGC) stability. In particular, we aim at uncovering the hierarchy of influence of particular input attributes upon the DSGC stability. Moreover, we also analyze the effect of possible "overlapping" of some input attributes over the other ones from the DSGC-stability perspective. The recently published and available at the UCI Database Repository Electrical Grid Stability Simulated Data Set and its input-aggregate-based concise version were used in our experiments. A comparison with 39 alternative approaches was also performed, demonstrating the advantages of our approach in terms of: (i) interpretable and accurate fuzzy rule-based DSGC-stability prediction and (ii) uncovering the hierarchy of DSGC-system’s attribute significance.

Keywords

• decentral smart grid control (DSGC)
• interpretable and accurate DSGC-stability prediction
• data mining
• computational intelligence
• fuzzy rule-based classifiers
• multi-objective evolutionary optimization