COVID-19 Pandemic Impact on Diagnosis, Stage, and Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States

Abstract

Background and Aims: The change in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) care continuum during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic remains unknown at a national level in the United States. We sought to determine the impact of the pandemic on incident HCC cases, clinical characteristics, and treatment in the United States. Methods: Using the National Cancer Database, we analyzed incident HCC cases from 2010 to 2020. The incidence rate was calculated using the population data for each year from the census bureau. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied for trend analysis, and a polynomial regression model estimated the number of projected HCC cases in 2020 according to the trend of rates from 2010 to 2019. The distribution of cancer stage and treatment modality were assessed. Results: The pandemic led to a significant reduction in reported HCC cases, from 19,597 in 2019 to 16,188 in 2020. The projected number of HCC for 2020 was 19,011, corresponding to a 14.8% reduction in 2020. Extent of reduction in the number of incident HCC cases relative to estimated cases remains consistent in racial and ethnic subgroups. Despite underdiagnosis of HCC in 2020, proportion of patients with early tumor stage (30.5% for Tumour, Node, Metastasis stage 1) and curative treatment receipt (9.1% for surgical resection, 13% for ablation, 4.2% for liver transplant) for HCC remained stable in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusion: There was a significant reduction in HCC cases in 2020 compared to pre-COVID years. While tumor stage and proportion of patients receiving curative treatment remained stable, continued follow-up is needed to assess potential changes during subsequent years.

Keywords

• Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Liver Cancer
• Underdiagnosis
• United States