Application of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems with Principal Component Analysis Model for the Forecasting of Carbonation Depth of Reinforced Concrete Structures

Abstract

The carbonation of reinforced concrete is one of the intrinsic factors that cause a significant decrease in service performance in concrete structures. To decrease the effect of carbonation-induced corrosion during the lifetime of the concrete structure, a prediction of carbonation depth should be made. The carbonation of concrete is affected by many factors, such as the compressive strength of the concrete, service life, carbonation time, carbon dioxide concentration, working stress, temperature, and humidity. On the basis of these seven parameters, combined with the predictive power of the adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and principal component analysis (PCA), which can reduce data dimensions before modeling, we introduced a novel approach—the PCA–ANFIS model—that can predict the carbonation of reinforced concrete. Practical engineering examples were adopted to verify the superiority of the suggested PCA–ANFIS model, with 90% of the carbonation depth data used for training and 10% used for testing. The root mean square error (RMSE) values for the ANFIS, ANN, PCA–ANN, and PCA–ANFIS training were 12.23, 6.28, 5.42, and 1.38, respectively. The results showed that the PCA–ANFIS model is accurate and can be used as a fundamental tool for predicting the service life of concrete structures.

Keywords

• carbonation depth of reinforced concrete structures
• principal component analysis (PCA)
• adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)
• forecast