Approaches to the estimation of the technological risks in the gold industry

Abstract

The current state of the knowledge of the methods used for the evaluation of technogenic risks is examined, and the new aspects of this problem in relation to the gold mining industry are considered. The aim of this work is to develop the general approaches to the ways of the distinguishing, specification of the origin and estimation of the technogenic risk for gold mining enterprises. A methodological basis for this work is risk management concepts, as well as the works of the leading Russian and foreign scientists in the field of risk management. The potential losses from an accident on the operated equipment can be taken into account by the introduction at the enterprises of gold-mining industry the additional tool for technogenic risk assessment based on the model of mathematical expectation of the losses from damage from the potential accidents. The problem of the quantitative estimation of the uncertainty is concluded to be the dominant problem in the theory of technological risk. An approach is required which would be based on the applicability of probabilistic characterization of properties of technical systems used in gold mining industry.

Keywords

• техногенный риск
• золотодобывающая отрасль
• техногенная безопасность
• методы оценки техногенного риска