Viruses (Jul 2022)

The Divergent Pattern of SARS-CoV-2 Variant Predominance and Transmission Dynamics in the Brazilian Island of Ilhabela

  • Vincent Louis Viala,
  • Svetoslav Nanev Slavov,
  • Loyze Paola Oliveira de Lima,
  • Alex Ranieri Jeronimo Lima,
  • Gabriela Ribeiro,
  • Antonio Jorge Martins,
  • Bruna Petry,
  • Cecilia Artico Banho,
  • Claudia Renata dos Santos Barros,
  • Cristina Tschorny Moncau,
  • Debora Botequio Moretti,
  • Debora Glenda Lima de La-Roque,
  • Elaine Cristina Marqueze,
  • Elisangela Chicaroni Mattos,
  • Felipe Allan da Silva da Costa,
  • Heidge Fukumasu,
  • Jardelina de Souza Todao Bernardino,
  • Jayme A. Souza-Neto,
  • Jessika Cristina Chagas Lesbon,
  • Lara Passos Kayanoki,
  • Leandro Lombo Bernardo,
  • Lívia Sacchetto,
  • Luan Gaspar Clemente,
  • Luiz Carlos Júnior Alcantara,
  • Luiz Lehmann Coutinho,
  • Beatriz de Carvalho Marques,
  • Marta Giovanetti,
  • Maurício Lacerda Nogueira,
  • Mirele Daiana Poleti,
  • Patricia Akemi Assato,
  • Pedro De Queiroz Cattony Neto,
  • Raquel de Lello Rocha Campos Cassano,
  • Raul Machado Neto,
  • Rejane Maria Tommasini Grotto,
  • Ricardo Augusto Brassaloti,
  • Simone Kashima,
  • Dimas Tadeu Covas,
  • Maria Carolina Elias,
  • Sandra Coccuzzo Sampaio

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/v14071481
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 14, no. 7
p. 1481

Abstract

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Our effort in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in Brazil has detected the Alpha Variant of Concern with a predominance higher than 75% in the population of Ilhabela island (São Paulo State) at a time when the Gamma VOC was already predominating the mainland raised concerns for closer surveillance on this island. Therefore, we intensified the surveillance for 24 weeks by generating data from 34% of local positive cases. Our data show that the patterns of VOC predominance dynamics and infection rates were in general distinct from the mainland. We report here the first known case of Alpha predominance in a Brazilian population, a delay greater than 3 months for the Gamma to dominate the previous variants compared to the mainland, and a faster dispersion rate of Gamma and Delta VOCs compared to the mainland. Phylogenetic analysis revealed the SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Ilhabela were characterized by multiple independent introduction events of Gamma and Delta, with a few events of Alpha introduction, two of them followed by community transmission. This study evidenced the peculiar behavior of SARS-CoV-2 variants in an isolated population and brought to light the importance of specific programs for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in isolated populations.

Keywords