Nonparametric Estimation of the Expected Shortfall Regression for Quasi-Associated Functional Data

Abstract

In this paper, we study the nonparametric estimation of the expected shortfall regression when the exogenous observation is functional. The constructed estimator is obtained by combining the double kernels estimator of both conditional value at risk and conditional density function. The asymptotic proprieties of this estimator are established under weak dependency condition. Precisely, we assume that the observations are generated from quasi-associated functional time series and we prove the almost complete convergence of the constructed estimator. This asymptotic result is obtained under a standard condition of functional time series analysis. The finite sample performance of this estimator is evaluated using artificial data.

Keywords

• functional data
• complete convergence (a.co.)
• risk analysis
• expected shortfall regression
• kernel method
• bandwidth parameter