BMJ Open (Sep 2023)

Clinical outcomes of non-COVID-19 orthopaedic patients admitted during the COVID-19 pandemic: a multi-centre interrupted time series analysis across hospitals in six different countries

  • Rob G H H Nelissen,
  • Pieter Stijnen,
  • Kiran Patel,
  • Andrew J Stewardson,
  • Lotje Anna Hoogervorst,
  • Marco Albini,
  • Nina Janda,
  • Perla Marang-van de Mheen

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073276
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 13, no. 9

Abstract

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Objectives To assess across seven hospitals from six different countries the extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic affected the volumes of orthopaedic hospital admissions and patient outcomes for non-COVID-19 patients admitted for orthopaedic care.Design A multi-centre interrupted time series (ITS) analysis.Setting Seven hospitals from six countries who collaborated within the Global Health Data@Work collaborative.Participants Non-COVID-19 patients admitted for orthopaedic care during the pre-pandemic (January/2018–February/2020) and COVID-19 pandemic (March/2020–June/2021) period. Admissions were categorised as: (1) acute admissions (lower limb fractures/neck of femur fractures/pathological fractures/joint dislocations/upper limb fractures); (2) subacute admissions (bone cancer); (3) elective admissions (osteoarthritis).Outcome measures Monthly observed versus expected ratios (O/E) were calculated for in-hospital mortality, long (upper-decile) length-of-stay and hospital readmissions, with expected rates calculated based on case-mix. An ITS design was used to estimate the change in level and/or trend of the monthly O/E ratio by comparing the COVID-19 pandemic with the pre-pandemic period.Results 69 221 (pre-pandemic) and 22 940 (COVID-19 pandemic) non-COVID-19 orthopaedic patient admissions were included. Admission volumes were reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic for all admission categories (range: 33%–45%), with more complex patients treated as shown by higher percentages of patients admitted with ≥1 comorbidity (53.8% versus 49.8%, p<0.001). The COVID-19 pandemic was not associated with significant changes in patient outcomes for most diagnostic groups. Only for patients diagnosed with pathological fractures (pre-pandemic n=1671 and pandemic n=749), the COVID-19 pandemic was significantly associated with an immediate mortality reduction (level change of −77.7%, 95% CI −127.9% to −25.7%) and for lower limb fracture patients (pre-pandemic n=9898 and pandemic n=3307) with a significantly reduced trend in readmissions (trend change of −6.3% per month, 95% CI −11.0% to −1.6%).Conclusions Acute, subacute, as well as elective orthopaedic hospital admissions volumes were reduced in all global participating hospitals during the COVID-19 pandemic, while overall patient outcomes for most admitted non-COVID-19 patients remained the same despite the strain caused by the surge of COVID-19 patients.