Enhancing Oil–Water Flow Prediction in Heterogeneous Porous Media Using Machine Learning

Abstract

The rapid and accurate forecasting of two-phase flow in porous media is a critical challenge in oil field development, exerting a substantial impact on optimization and decision-making processes. Although the Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) network effectively captures spatiotemporal dynamics, its generalization in predicting complex engineering problems remains limited. Similarly, although the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) demonstrates adeptness at learning operators for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), it struggles with three-dimensional, long-term prediction. In response to these limitations, we introduce an innovative hybrid model, the Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory-Fourier Neural Operator (CL-FNO), specifically designed for the long-term prediction of three-dimensional two-phase flows. This model integrates a 3D convolutional encoder–decoder structure to extract and generate hierarchical spatial features of the flow fields. It incorporates physical constraints to enhance the model’s forecasts with robustness through the infusion of prior knowledge. Additionally, a temporal function, constructed using gated memory-forgetting mechanisms, augments the model’s capacity to analyze time series data. The efficacy and practicality of the CL-FNO model are validated using a synthetic three-dimensional case study and application to an actual reservoir model.

Keywords

• deep learning
• physics-informed
• spatiotemporal forecast
• two-phase flow
• heterogeneous