Machine Learning-Assisted Prediction of Ambient-Processed Perovskite Solar Cells’ Performances

Abstract

As we move towards the commercialization and upscaling of perovskite solar cells, it is essential to fabricate them in ambient environment rather than in the conventional glove box environment. The efficiency of ambient-processed perovskite solar cells lags behind those fabricated in controlled environments, primarily owing to external environmental factors such as humidity and temperature. In the case of device fabrication in ambient environments, relying solely on a single parameter, such as temperature or humidity, is insufficient for accurately characterizing environmental conditions. Therefore, the dew point is introduced as a parameter which accounts for both temperature and humidity. In this study, a machine learning model was developed to predict the efficiency of ambient-processed perovskite solar cells based on meteorological data, particularly the dew point. A total of 238 perovskite solar cells were fabricated, and their photovoltaic parameters and dew points were collected from March to December 2023. The collected data were used to train various tree-based machine learning models, with the random forest model achieving the highest accuracy. The efficiencies of the perovskite solar cells fabricated in January and February 2024 were predicted with a MAPE of 4.44%. An additional Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis confirmed the significance of the dew point in the performance of perovskite solar cells.

Keywords

• ambient processed
• perovskite solar cells
• dew point
• artificial intelligence
• machine learning