Simplified stochastic modeling of concrete spalling due to fire

Abstract

Predicting spalling of concrete due to fire loading is undoubtedly a complex task to come across. Existing numerical models are dealing with the phenomena on different complexity levels of describing the physical/chemical processes and material behavior. But still they do not take the highly stochastic nature of these processes into account. This paper discusses a proposal to develop a practical prediction method based on simplify numerical models and the probabilistic approach.