Multi-Output Prediction Model for Basic Oxygen Furnace Steelmaking Based on the Fusion of Deep Convolution and Attention Mechanisms

Abstract

The objective of basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking is to achieve molten steel with final carbon content, temperature, and phosphorus content meeting the requirements. Accurate prediction of the above properties is crucial for end-point control in BOF steelmaking. Traditional prediction models typically use multi-variable input and single-variable output approaches, neglecting the coupling relationships between different property indicators, making it difficult to predict multiple outputs simultaneously. Consequently, a multi-output prediction model based on the fusion of deep convolution and attention mechanism networks (FDCAN) is proposed. The model inputs include scalar data, such as the properties of raw materials and target molten steel, and time series data, such as lance height, oxygen supply intensity, and bottom air supply intensity during the blowing process. The FDCAN model utilizes a fully connected module to extract nonlinear features from scalar data and a deep convolution module to process time series data, capturing high-dimensional feature representations. The attention mechanism then assigns greater weight to significant features. Finally, multiple multi-layer perceptron modules predict the outputs—final carbon content, temperature, and phosphorus content. This structure allows FDCAN to learn complex relationships within the input data and between input and output variables. The effectiveness of the FDCAN model is validated using actual BOF steelmaking data, achieving hit rates of 95.14% for final carbon content within ±0.015 wt%, 84.72% for final temperature within ±15 °C, and 88.89% for final phosphorus content within ±0.005 wt%.

Keywords

• BOF steelmaking process
• multiple output prediction model
• multivariate time series
• deep convolution
• attention mechanism