Nature Communications (Mar 2019)

Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenarios

  • Wilfried Thuiller,
  • Maya Guéguen,
  • Julien Renaud,
  • Dirk N. Karger,
  • Niklaus E. Zimmermann

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09519-w
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

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Attaining global biodiversity projections requires the use of various species distribution and climate modelling and scenario approaches. Here the authors report that model choice can significantly impact results, with particularly uncertainty arising from choice of species distribution model and emission scenario.