A Spatio-Temporal Neural Network Learning System for City-Scale Carbon Storage Capacity Estimating

Abstract

Carbon storage capacity can be estimated to establish evaluation standards and statistics for carbon neutrality. Existing estimation methods including machine learning system have weakness modeling ability, and they are unable to deal with the complex topographies and temporal changes in vegetation in urban zones. However, a deep neural network has the potential ability to face such complex scenes because of its nonlinear fitting properties which has been widely used in industry. In this study, a novel and powerful neural network learning system named CiSL-NPP is proposed, to integrate multi-source data as an accurate, efficient, simple, long-term, city-scale carbon storage capacity measurement method. We use an unsupervised generation model spatio-temporal Masked AutoEncoder (st-MAE) and lightweight RNN model to efficiently obtain high-quality data that contain time-series information such as seasons; this minimizes any undue impact of meteorological, temporal, and spatial factors on the measurement owing to the multi-source, multi-modal nature of the data. In the MAE, we add seasonal coding to make it time-series sensitive; we also embed road network information to accurately perceive the complex topography of the city. Results for 16 cities in China and Europe revealed that the proposed method shows: 1) Higher-quality generated data (MSE is 0.13-0.29); 2) Accurate coverage of time series and complex geographical features; 3) Satisfaction of estimation demands with only 316 RMB cost; 4) Capability to evolve a long-term trend of urban vegetation carbon storage capacity in 4.2 days; and 5) Easily interpretable results which could, in practice, provide sound guidance for urban planning and decision-making processes.

Keywords

• Neural network learning system
• unsupervised generation model
• spatio-temporal masked autoencoder
• carbon storage capacity measurement