Climate effects of non-compliant Volkswagen diesel cars

Abstract

On-road operations of Volkswagen light-duty diesel vehicles equipped with defeat devices cause emissions of NO _x up to 40 times above emission standards. Higher on-road NO _x emissions are a widespread problem not limited to Volkswagen vehicles, but the Volkswagen violations brought this issue under the spotlight. While several studies investigated the health impacts of high NO _x emissions, the climatic impacts have not been quantified. Here we show that such diesel cars generate a larger warming on the time scale of several years but a smaller warming on the decadal time scale during actual on-road operations than in vehicle certification tests. The difference in longer-term warming levels, however, depends on underlying driving conditions. Furthermore, in the presence of defeat devices, the climatic advantage of ‘clean diesel’ cars over gasoline cars, in terms of global-mean temperature change, is in our view not necessarily the case.

Keywords

• Volkswagen
• defeat devices
• light duty vehicles
• NOx emissions
• climate impact
• simple climate model