Spatially explicit optimization of the forest management tradeoff between timber production and carbon sequestration

Abstract

Forest farms are the main body of forest management at the landscape-scale in China, and have long sought ways to jointly maximize timber production and other ecosystem services. Carbon sequestration is of particular interest because China has established the goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2060. However, optimizing the balance between timber production and carbon sequestration is a challenge due to a lack of methods that account for the spatial arrangement of forest management activities within a landscape. This study developed a multi-objective planning model for forest management approaches to promote natural forest regeneration, adjusting the stand age structure of plantation forests to an even distribution across a landscape, and quantified the effects of social preferences and market prices on optimal management. The results show that depending on the dominant ecosystem services provided by the forests, forest management could promote an increased timber volume and stand carbon stock that is sustainable in the long-term. Social preferences have a relatively small influence on optimal management plans after forests are restructured to a normal forest age class distribution. In addition, forest management dynamics are more sensitive to carbon prices than timber prices. Hence, the spatial allocation of different management practices and forest restructuring, rather than protecting forests or managing them less intensively, is more effective for improving forest carbon stocks. More importantly, an urgent need also exists to increase the carbon price to guide and strengthen the attention of forest managers to forest carbon sequestration, with the goal of achieving a win–win strategy.

Keywords

• Optimization
• Ecosystem services
• Spatial arrangement of management measures
• Social preferences
• Market prices