Coupled space-time scale analysis for obtaining enhanced accuracy in species dynamics

Abstract

Scale effects significantly affect the rationality and accuracy of ecological models, so temporal and spatial scales are included in the construction and application of ecological studies. However, few ecological pattern analyses focus on both of these scales simultaneously, which is especially important in terms of synchrony. In this study, based on fishery catch data and simulated data, we propose a framework for coupled space-time scale analysis and reveal possible deficiencies in conventional scale studies. We verified the feasibility and reliability of the scheme using simulated data with different combinations of temporal and spatial scales. The results showed that our scheme can simultaneously identify and localize scale features in the variation in species spatial-temporal patterns, specifically regarding the synchrony and amplitude of temporal dynamics (or spatial patterns) of multiple sites (or times). Our scheme revealed that spatial scales had an important effect on the intrinsic 13-year scale features, which significantly improved our understanding of global Rajiformes fishery dynamics. This showed that the spatial-temporal patterns and scale features obtained based on the coupled space-time scale analysis were complete and more accurate. At the same time, our scheme correctly identified complex pattern structures, such as data stratification and multiple combinations of time and space scales, which can reduce possible errors in practical applications. This scheme can be applied to the identification and prediction of the spatial-temporal patterns in biodiversity in the future and will help in formulating effective policies promoting sustainable fishery resources management and comprehensive conservation of endangered marine species.

Keywords

• Scale analysis
• Species dynamics
• Wavelet analysis
• Fishery catch
• Spatial-temporal pattern
• Synchrony analysis