Reliability analysis of the impact of thickness measurement accuracy on the longitudinal strength assessment of CAP

Abstract

The reliability analysis of the longitudinal bending strength of ships is conducted using the total probability method, taking into account and analyzing the accuracy error in thickness measurement of transverse section members on existing servicing ships. A mathematical model for calculating failure probability CAP ratings is established. By calculating the CAP rating of an aged LPG carrier, it is observed that when the deterministic method reaches the target rating, the failure probability in rating calculation by the reliability analysis method is high. This indicates a significant influence of thickness measurement accuracy on CAP rating accuracy.

Keywords

• reliability analysis
• thickness measurement
• cap