Analysis of stochastic epidemic model with awareness decay and heterogeneous individuals on multi-weighted networks

Abstract

Abstract In the current study, we present a stochastic SAIS (unaware susceptible-aware susceptible-infectious-unaware susceptible) epidemic dynamic model on complex networks with multi-weights. The disease dynamic is influenced by random perturbations to the force of the infection rates, as well as awareness rates. To analyze the problem of extinction, we discuss both the stochastic asymptotic stability in the large and almost surely exponential stability of the trivial solution. Then, we get some sufficient conditions, which guarantee the stochastic persistence of infectious disease. Based on the Erdös-Réyni random graph, the numerical simulations are given. These not only validate our conclusions but also obtain else significative results. Both theoretical results and numerical simulations further reflect that improvement of risk awareness and reduction of decay in awareness are highly effective in preventing disease spread. And then, environmental noises play a significant role in disease transmission.

Keywords

• Stochastic SAIS model
• Multi-weighted networks
• Extinction
• Stochastic persistence