Geological hazard assessment based on the models of AHP, catastrophe theory and their combination: A case study in Pingshan County of Heibei Province

Abstract

Pingshan County, Hebei was affected by topography, geological structure, ecological environment and other factors, geological disasters such as landslides occurred frequently. Nine evaluation factors including topographic relief, slope, aspect, river network density, fault zone density, stratigraphic lithology, NDVI, land use type and geological disaster point density were selected. The weights of each evaluation factor were calculated by AHP and catastrophe theory, and the combination model of AHP and catastrophe theory was established and applied according to the minimum information entropy weight method. The results of geological disaster risk assessment in Pingshan County based on three methods were compared. The results show that the evaluation results of the combined model have higher accuracy and are in line with the development characteristics of geological disasters in this area. Combined model method combines subjective and objective, considering the influence of factors, the evaluation results are reliable. This study provides a new attempt and method for geological disaster risk assessment in Pingshan County and similar areas.

Keywords

• geological disasters
• risk assessment
• analytic hierarchy process
• catastrophe theory
• combination model