Domain Fusion CNN-LSTM for Short-Term Power Consumption Forecasting

Abstract

Short-term power consumption forecasting plays a critical role in the process of building the smart grid. However, it is very challenging as the power consumption series has strong randomness and volatility. In this paper, the authors proposed a novel domain fusion deep model based on convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to deal with this task accurately. The proposed deep model has two channels: raw power consumption and DWT. The raw power consumption channel corresponding to time-domain feature extraction while the DWT channel is frequency domain. They extract time-domain and frequency-domain features individually by using CNN. CNN extracted time-domain, and frequency-domain features are merged as time-frequency fusion features, which fully reflect the changing power consumption trend. The time-frequency fusion features are fed into LSTM to mining the features which have a long-time dependency. The comprehensive features are the fusion of time-domain and frequency-domain features with a long-time dependency, which are utilized for power consumption forecasting. The proposed method is evaluated on two public nature data sets related to power consumption with multiple metrics. The comparative experimental analysis has confirmed the state-of-the-art performance of the proposed method for short-term power consumption forecasting.

Keywords

• Smart grid
• power consumption forecasting
• time series forecasting
• CNN-LSTM
• domain fusion