A Novel Hybrid Deep-Learning Approach for Flood-Susceptibility Mapping

Abstract

Flood-susceptibility mapping (FSM) is crucial for effective flood prediction and disaster prevention. Traditional methods of modeling flood vulnerability, such as the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), require weights defined by experts, while machine-learning and deep-learning approaches require extensive datasets. Remote sensing is also limited by the availability of images and weather conditions. We propose a new hybrid strategy integrating deep learning with the HEC–HMS and HEC–RAS physical models to overcome these challenges. In this study, we introduce a Weighted Residual U-Net (W-Res-U-Net) model based on the target of the HEC–HMS and RAS physical simulation without disregarding ground truth points by using two loss functions simultaneously. The W-Res-U-Net was trained on eight sub-basins and tested on five others, demonstrating superior performance with a sensitivity of 71.16%, specificity of 91.14%, and area under the curve (AUC) of 92.95% when validated against physical simulations, as well as a sensitivity of 88.89%, specificity of 93.07%, and AUC of 95.87% when validated against ground truth points. Incorporating a “Sigmoid Focal Loss” function and a dual-loss function improved the realism and performance of the model, achieving higher sensitivity, specificity, and AUC than HEC–RAS alone. This hybrid approach significantly enhances the FSM model, especially with limited real-world data.

Keywords

• FSM
• hybrid strategy
• physical models
• ground truth points
• W-Res-U-Net